Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.530655 1.751939 1.994902 2.281617 2.610936 2.977620 3.417262
2025-07-20 1.278725 1.583152 1.945050 2.407644 2.984295 3.680835 4.588236
2025-07-27 1.078706 1.428320 1.873230 2.482465 3.297627 4.354399 5.834549
2025-08-03 0.919325 1.291207 1.793654 2.524794 3.566394 5.004328 7.153032
2025-08-10 0.764009 1.130362 1.652228 2.453701 3.661045 5.423988 8.215751
2025-08-17 0.631201 0.978205 1.496417 2.331677 3.654625 5.686545 9.077634
2025-08-24 0.551277 0.891594 1.422427 2.317104 3.801567 6.191194 10.379228
2025-08-31 0.480199 0.807552 1.338918 2.271988 3.887807 6.604074 11.585099
2025-09-07 0.448544 0.782875 1.346577 2.375997 4.233220 7.487904 13.722260
2025-09-14 0.413029 0.746179 1.328061 2.430190 4.496089 8.260082 15.770987
2025-09-21 0.372722 0.695259 1.277375 2.418076 4.633938 8.820696 17.501722
2025-09-28 0.325608 0.625568 1.183564 2.311938 4.577543 9.005312 18.519589
2025-10-05 0.307720 0.610013 1.190723 2.405024 4.930686 10.048087 21.472766
2025-10-12 0.293977 0.600797 1.208937 2.522838 5.351519 11.289052 25.051684
2025-10-19 0.276323 0.581321 1.204134 2.592349 5.681146 12.387835 28.503628
2025-10-26 0.257578 0.557080 1.186323 2.631360 5.949786 13.393092 31.910233
2025-11-02 0.231014 0.512603 1.120042 2.554251 5.946148 13.788418 33.941097
2025-11-09 0.203663 0.462908 1.036178 2.425484 5.803480 13.840102 35.134894
2025-11-16 0.187734 0.437139 1.002574 2.409397 5.926970 14.541021 38.085445
2025-11-23 0.171351 0.408290 0.958397 2.361917 5.966428 15.041339 40.596201
2025-11-30 0.166384 0.406033 0.976333 2.469861 6.413839 16.634201 46.324748
2025-12-07 0.158583 0.395877 0.973981 2.526079 6.735072 17.947194 51.504343
2025-12-14 0.147629 0.376494 0.946537 2.513369 6.870407 18.784010 55.463418